Today's quote from former Liberal agriculture minister Eugene Whelan is worthy of stealing.
I, too, don't give a hoot and a holler and a counterfit dollar if Liberal leadership hopeful Gerard Kennedy didn't spend his life in a university.
While Michael Ignatieff, one of four frontrunners bidding got the Liberal crown, was a professor at an American university, Mr. Kennedy was rolling up his sleeves and feeding hungry Canadians. In my books, Kennedy's achievements carries far more weight than some snotty academic who preferred to call the United States instead of Canada home for 30 years.
The first ballot for the 4,300 Liberal delegates in Saturday's vote is foreplay. All the energy and buzz on the convention floor in Montreal is focusing on the second ballot.
With Michael Ignatieff, Bob Rae, Kennedy and Stephane Dion as frontrunners in the eight-way race, the Liberals' choice reeks of democracy, making me a very happy onlooker.
I've decided to play "What if".
If I was a voting delegate at the Liberal showdown, I'd mark my X beside Kennedy's name and I'd stick with the former Ontario education minister as far as my vote was needed.
Don't be surprised if a Stop-Ignatieff move is put into high gear within seconds after the results of the second ballot are announced.
Here's how I see the shuffle:
Joe Volpe and Martha Hall Findlay will drop off the first ballot, while Ken Dryden will withdraw before the third ballot, sending out a signal which could help set a particular tone for the rest of the voting.
If Dryden gives Dion the nod and the Quebec MP's numbers are favourable, many voters will start to wonder if Dion has the ability to vault over Kennedy to challenge Rae and Ignatieff. If this happens, the Stop-Ignatieff movement will go into overdrive.
Leadership conventions take on a life of their own, regardless of party.
I've been on the floor when the Liberals picked three federal and three provincial leaders, while I was in the thick of it when the provincial Conservatives picked Frank Miller and then Larry Grossman. Meanwhile, when the federal New Democrats crowned Ed Broadbent and their provincial cousins chose Michael Cassidy as leader, I was there.
Here's my call for tomorrow's Liberal race: Rae will be the winner on the fourth ballot.
Here's why: Most of the original support for Volpe, Hall Findlay and Dryden will eventually find it's way to Rae's camp.
Dion and Kennedy's supporters will then be subject to painful arm-twisting from both Rae's and Ignatieff's people.
I can hear the Liberal grumbling.
"Damn Dion," the Grits will mutter to each other. "If Dion had mastered the English language with more proficiency, we could stick with our Liberal tradition of alternating leaders between French and English and back him with pleasure. But the job at-hand is to wallop Stephen Harper. We can't do it with a guy who can't speak fluent English."
On the last ballot and fourth ballot, support for both Dion and Kennedy will slip, fall and drift, pushing Rae into first place.
If, as it can happens in leadership races, the sneak-up-the-middle wild card could take over, dumping Ignatieff and leaving Rae and Kennedy to fight is out.
In the end, it'll be Rae by a photo finish.
In the after-life, Kennedy, Dion, Hall Findlay will remain to help strengthen the Liberal Party. Dryden will go on to win one last term as a Toronto MP, while Volpe will leave politics after being defeated in his riding.
After Sunday, neither the Liberal party nor the country see much of Ignatieff.
Such is democracy.
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